Why protect the guilty? How does that let us learn from our mistakes? (01)
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From: ontolog-forum-bounces@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
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To: [ontolog-forum] <ontolog-forum@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Mon Feb 16 20:52:38 2009
Subject: Re: [ontolog-forum] standard ontology (02)
Ali, (03)
That is one of my greatest fears: (04)
AH> I fear ontology is going the way of AI in the 1980's, with
> a lot of promise, but little to show for it. Too many of my
> (smart) friends are turned off by ontologies because so much
> of what is out there is .... disappointing / infantile? (05)
The periodic boom-and-bust cycle has plagued AI from its earliest
years (1950s and '60s). Those cycles result from two tendencies: (06)
1. Making wild extrapolations from toy examples. (07)
2. Failing to address practical applications (AKA low-hanging fruit)
that could bring in enough ROI to pay for the research. (08)
Tendency #1 leads to inflated expectations by the funding agencies,
and tendency #2 produces nothing useful in return. (09)
These two tendencies have been repeated again and again over the past
half century, and people are still repeating them today. I won't
give any examples, in order to protect the guilty. (010)
Although I want to see more research in AI, I keep asking annoying
questions whenever I see, hear, or smell tendencies #1 and #2. (011)
John (012)
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