Re: [ontology-summit] An example of the worth of ontologydevelopment

[Ron Wheeler <rwheeler@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>]

On 01/03/2011 3:01 PM, AzamatAbdoullaev wrote:

"What is Disruptive technologies?"

They don't have to mean the end of all life, just an sudden obsolescence of a dominate existing technology.
 
Machine Gun beat rifles
Tank beat machine guns

Steam engine beat water power
Internal combustion engine beat the horse

Dynamite eliminated blasting powders
Plastics changed all kinds of material choices

Printing press changed the monopoly on reading
Telephone changed communication

Internet made the world flat

Watson?

Ron

 

Pavithra,

"Disruptive technologies" is coming from Marx's "creative destruction of capital through crises", sublation, applied by Schumpeter to economic innovation and progress, so mostly created by economists. The creative-destructive contradiction is personified as the Hindu god Shiva, destroyer and creator, or Dionysus, creatively destructive and vice versa. 

In the growth-time reference, there are generally 3 types of innovation/technologies:

1.  incremental (a bit-by-bit improvements to products, processes and services)
2. converging technologies, as NBIC technologies
3. radical and revolutionary innovation/technologies causing creative destruction of society, economy, business, and all life

What you mentioned below is either of the first category or the second one, at best. The time-space compression as globalization or eco-urbanization, where the capital is flowing, are of the second category.

The disruptive ones are mostly future technologies in physics, material science, IT, green energy technology, robotics, AI: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_emerging_technologies  

 

Azamat Abdoullaev 

----- Original Message -----

From: Pavithra

To: Ontology Summit 2011 discussion

Sent: Tuesday, March 01, 2011 8:28 PM

Subject: Re: [ontology-summit] An example of the worth of ontologydevelopment

Dr. Sowa,

What is Disruptive technologies?  In any of the tools that I sow in here or anywhere else during last couple of years reflects some research or the other that is going on during the last 30 years.  Now that includes Watson,  and even semantic web for that matter.   For example , I spend some time doing reserach and presentation on RDF, OWL and executable architecture when I was at MITRE in 2004.   At present we have OWL 2..

Is facebook or twitter disruptive technologies? Are web 3.0 tools disruptive technologies? Are GPS and GIS apps disruptive technologies?   Are search engines disruptive technologies?  I remember using yahoo search for almost a decade now.   They are incremental concepts with decades of research behind the scenes but launched at the right time..  Could computing has evolved over 15 years now..  It all seems incremental and evolutionary

Or do you take them on face value and call them Disruptive Technologies, because all encompassing package ( apps  on the internet )  as a new concept?

Pavithra


--- On Tue, 3/1/11, John F. Sowa <sowa@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:

From: John F. Sowa <sowa@xxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: Re: [ontology-summit] An example of the worth of ontology development
To: ontology-summit@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Date: Tuesday, March 1, 2011, 12:48 PM

Jack,

I very strongly agree with that point:

> To my earlier point, until a prospect values purpose and usage it is
> largely futile to gain their awareness, appreciation and acceptance of
> ontology development or adoption of a pre-canned ontology. In fact, if
> they say they want an ontology it is likely that they are 'silver
> bullet' or "latest fad" connoisseurs and will not become successful
> customers.

I believe that the ontology field is still in a very early stage
of development.  Jack's examples (and others that crop up from
time to time) show that good methodologies can achieve an order
of magnitude improvement over what is commonly done today.

That indicates the current tools and methodologies are not likely
to survive the next paradigm shift -- which I expect to arrive
sometime in this decade.

Therefore, we should devote more time to "disruptive technologies"
than to incremental improvements in current tools and techniques.

John

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