Mike, (01)
Hi Mike, (02)
I think the whole thing is far too complex to be solved by an ontology or
collection thereof within present technology. It will take far more than
that to organize structure and evaluate transactions. Each party to each
transaction has a unique view for a unique set of personal goals, whether
selling or buying. Economics works because two parties to a transaction can
both believe they got the better deal for their own purposes. If everything
is described objectively and unambiguously (I question whether that is even
possible), neither side would be motivated to conduct that side of the
transaction. (03)
Sorry to be so pessimistic, but I think ontologies will have to be
restricted to very narrow domains for another generation or two. Until we
really understand people, and the how and why of their activities, we don't
have much chance of building functional large scale ontologies. (04)
The Dublin core was an accepted ontology precisely because it is the
smallest, least committed ontology for its purpose. I think the ontologies
that get good reception will be similar to DC for quite a long time. (05)
There is something still missing - accounting for individual perspectives -
that must be much better formulated before commercial ontologies become well
used. (06)
JMHO,
-Rich (07)
Sincerely,
Rich Cooper
EnglishLogicKernel.com
Rich AT EnglishLogicKernel DOT com
9 4 9 \ 5 2 5 - 5 7 1 2 (08)
-----Original Message-----
From: ontolog-forum-bounces@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
[mailto:ontolog-forum-bounces@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Mike Bennett
Sent: Monday, January 10, 2011 7:46 AM
To: [ontolog-forum]
Subject: Re: [ontolog-forum] Quote for the day (09)
That is very interesting. It is through examples like this, that
one should be able to demonstrate (or demonstrably fail to
demonstrate) the benefits of ontology engineering in its broadest
sense, i.e. formally and consistently stating facts about the world. (010)
Whether everyone wants everything seen is a separate matter, the
solutions to which are more political than technical I would
suggest. (011)
Mike (012)
On 04/01/2011 18:37, Rich Cooper wrote:
> Mike,
>
> Even the highly regulated escrow processes are far too idiosyncratic to be
> modified so the business geeks can take control from the technical geeks.
> If you have ever gone through escrow, and found those surprises that pop
up
> when the CC&Rs restrict the purchaser in many unenforceable ways, and then
> tried to live within the CC&Rs, you will know what I mean. The "standard"
> parts are so small compared to the bulk of the data that passes through
> escrow and out the other end to purchaser, governments, seller, title
> company, insurance company and local planning staff.
>
> About a year ago, I worked on a case where a purchaser had flipped an
> apartment building and gotten a major markup of nearly twice the realistic
> value of the building on which to borrow the purchase money! The title
> company had missed the flip, and yet had boasted on their web site about
how
> ISO 9000/9001 compliant their software was. Then they blamed the error on
> the computer!
>
> I was able to show that ISO 9001 compliance would have been impossible
with
> a computer error like that. The bank that provided the purchase loan had
> only been given the second part of the flip, leading to them thinking that
> the apartment building had sold for only a little more than it was bought
> for a couple years ago - false information. Of course, in the real estate
> market which has really gotten screwed up in the last few years, the
> apartment building owners were unable to pay for the loan after buying the
> building, and the bank was nonplussed.
>
> My point is this. The complexity and idiosyncrasies of business
> transactions are so market-, buyer- and seller-specific that the
likelihood
> of predicting all the ontological columns needed to model the transactions
> is very, very low. I don't consider that a likely scenario in my
lifetime.
> But then I am rather old also. Maybe after HAL gets built it will be
fine.
>
>
> JMHO,
> -Rich
>
> Sincerely,
> Rich Cooper
> EnglishLogicKernel.com
> Rich AT EnglishLogicKernel DOT com
> 9 4 9 \ 5 2 5 - 5 7 1 2
> -----Original Message-----
> From: ontolog-forum-bounces@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> [mailto:ontolog-forum-bounces@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Mike Bennett
> Sent: Tuesday, January 04, 2011 3:49 AM
> To: [ontolog-forum]
> Subject: Re: [ontolog-forum] Quote for the day
>
> I think you have hit the nail on the head. The financial industry
> does not lack precision. Not only simple monetary instruments
> (whose meaning is as primitive as it gets) but more complex
> financial instruments, whose meaning is grounded in contract and
> law.
>
> The ambiguity sets in when various technical folks get hold of
> what are originally precise terms, and shoe horn them into
> various different databases with different data structures, put
> unexpected new (but precise) terms into existing data fields that
> also house data with different meanings, then devise message
> schemes that get these from place to place, all without formal
> reference to the original, existing, precise business meanings.
> And without business review and oversight of what this data is
> becoming in the arcane world of data, because they have left it
> to the data geeks to deal with it.
>
> Until one day the world wakes up and realises that no-one knows
> exactly what their exposure is to anyone else.
>
> Mike
>
> On 04/01/2011 02:45, John F. Sowa wrote:
>> Ron and Pat,
>>
>> People have been defining standard terminologies and specifications
>> for many centuries before anybody taught them to use the "O" word.
>>
>> RW:
>>> I would think that local conformance concerns should be addressed by
>>> extensions and processes around an internationally agreed ontology.
>>> Having an unambiguous description of goods and services crossing borders
>>> (customs, homeland security, environment, regulatory reporting, etc.)
>>> would seem to provide a clear ROI for development of ontologies.
>> Many *centuries* before computers were invented, governments and
>> international standards bodies developed standards for navigation,
>> geographical coordinates, time, units of measure, screw threads,
>> wheat grains, chemical compounds, etc. Note that the terms "Julian"
>> and "Gregorian" for dates refer to Julius Caesar and Pope Gregory.
>>
>> RW:
>>> I would think that a universal description of a financial instrument
>>> would facilitate international trading of that security.
>> The Sumerians baked those financial instruments into clay tablets
>> many millennia ago. Their successors were doing international
>> trade across the Silk Road from China to Europe and Africa over
>> three millennia ago. The Phoenicians invented the alphabet to
>> keep track of all the goods they were shipping from port to
>> port around the Mediterranean to the British Isles.
>>
>> The modern definitions were established by the Italian bankers
>> half a millennium ago. Their successors were using international
>> electronic funds transfer by telegraph for many decades before the
>> Internet came along.
>>
>> PC:
>>> The point I think is worth considering is that, unless one actually
>>> has a common vocabulary to describe one's models, there is no way
>>> to tell that they are in fact different.
>> I certainly agree -- and so would Julius Caesar, Pope Gregory, and
>> lots of Sumerians, Phoenicians, and Renaissance bankers.
>>
>> Before we try to sell them on the idea of using ontologies, we have
>> to show them some advantage. They know their business far better than
>> we do, they've been running it successfully for a long time, and we
>> need to show some clear value in this newfangled O-stuff.
>>
>> PC:
>>> This suggests that the primitive elements may focus on observable
>>> phenomena, and perhaps also on mathematical or graphical primitives
>>> that can serve to build the mental models people use.
>> Look at the words 'suggests', 'may, and 'perhaps'. That sounds far
>> too speculative to convince people who have been keeping precise
>> records about billions and trillions of dollars of commerce.
>>
>> I really hope that the work on logic and ontology can succeed.
>> But it has to do something better than what people have been
>> doing already. Vague suggestions that may perhaps do something
>> someday aren't going to convince anybody.
>>
>> John
>>
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>>
> (013)
--
Mike Bennett
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