Dear Pat, (01)
> This has got to be nonsense. You are claiming that if your
> hypothetical 'foundation ontology' were available, that the US economy
> would gain 100 billion dollars in a matter of weeks, simply by more
> efficient information transfer? First, I simply do not believe that
> anyone, with any methodology, could possibly sustain this estimate
> based on any actual data. (02)
MW: Well I have looked at this, and I don't know what the number is, but it
is very large. Just in Shell I found that it was so unbelievable that I
scaled the answer I got back by a factor of 10 before talking to anyone. (03)
> Second, this assumes that (even if this
> estimate is correct) that the presence of an ontology will magically
> remove all problems of intercommunication throughout an entire
> economy. Which is so obviously nonsensical, I submit, that one has
> only to state it to see how ridiculous it is. (04)
MW: This is more where the flaw lies. The myth that if you have a better
mousetrap, people will beat a path to your door. I think it would take at
least 20 years for a widely supported ontology to have this sort of effect,
possible more. Certainly I think that managing the politics of take up is a
much tougher problem than developing the ontology itself. (05)
Regards (06)
Matthew West
Information Junction
Tel: +44 560 302 3685
Mobile: +44 750 3385279
matthew.west@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
http://www.informationjunction.co.uk/
http://www.matthew-west.org.uk/ (07)
This email originates from Information Junction Ltd. Registered in England
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>
> Pat Hayes
>
>
> > I also suspect that a lot more than the project cost has already
> > been lost
> > in the hunt for alternatives that will never prove useful. Unless
> you
> > assume the probability of success at under 0.01%, the FO project is
> > likely
> > to be cost-effective; and it can be staged so that the greatest
> > expense is
> > only incurred after preliminary work indicates a higher likelihood of
> > success.
> >
> > Pat
> >
> > Patrick Cassidy
> > MICRA, Inc.
> > 908-561-3416
> > cell: 908-565-4053
> > cassidy@xxxxxxxxx
> >
> >
> >
> >
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