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Re: [mphise-talk] ontology-team conference call Mon 2009.03.30

To: "[mphise-talk] " <mphise-talk@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
From: "Day, Jamison M" <jmday2@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Date: Wed, 25 Mar 2009 19:16:55 -0500
Message-id: <C1A2AB30F3FB7F4EB0F80B750AE3E6CD0A140B4D@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>

Agreed, Bob.

 

Excellent work George… I look forward to seeing you present this next week!

 

Along the same lines… I would suggest that our current environment is more dynamic and uncertain than ever. Moreover, both the pace of change and impact of uncertainty are accelerating exponentially. Unfortunately, the classic coordination mechanisms that we attempt inject are based on centralized control and have only a linear growth capability (i.e. a controlled taxonomy/ontology/standard can only be re-versioned as quickly as one entity, or a collective entity – read: standards committee – can update it). Apparently, we are reaching the point at which exponential environmental change is outpacing our familiar methods’ linearly growing capacities for response.

 

This feels true based on even my limited experience of many domains (including disaster management and medical/public healthcare) in which we are seeing very familiar problems raring their ugly heads over and over.

 

We need a different approach than what has worked in the past. Relying on ‘conventional wisdom’ will only keep us refining our linear responsiveness. Incremental, evolutionary steps are unlikely to be sufficient. I would suggest we need to look at coordination mechanisms capable of fostering collective production in distributed communities.

 

Jamison

 

Jamison M. Day, Ph.D.

Assistant Professor of Supply Chain Management

Department of Decision and Information Sciences

Bauer College of Business at the University of Houston

jmday@xxxxxx

 

 

From: mphise-talk-bounces@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:mphise-talk-bounces@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Bob Smith
Sent: Wednesday, March 25, 2009 6:22 PM
To: [mphise-talk]
Subject: Re: [mphise-talk] ontology-team conference call Mon 2009.03.30

 

This PPT from George Hurlburt is an excellent statement!!!

 

I especially like the first slide showing a human yelling at a laptop, with the explanation that ... we should be humble about the stability assumptions of a design and deeply consider the socio-technical aspects of the system design, especially at the edges:

 

" ...Data that should map from one database to another is either sometimes dependent upon a highly flexible schema, filthy at its source, or significantly nuanced in meaning to require significant semantic mapping.

 

Worst of all, environmental changes ranging from new threats, politics, resulting doctrinal shifts, resource driven procedural workarounds, sudden addition or deletion of influential federates or a myriad of other pragmatic operating factors create near chaos in carefully crafted static architectures, even if ontologically driven.

In essence, experience demonstrates that few processes really remain static in today’s highly accelerated environment. Thus, it is unrealistic to consider static architectures will last long into even the system design phase, much less their related and unifying ontological structures. Rather knowledge flows incrementally as we continually assimilate new information"

 

Is this the same George F. Hurlburt who authored "An Ethical Analysis of Automation, Risk, and the Financial Crises of 2008"?

 

IF so, the summary of that article posted on the IEEE website is informative:

The unprecedented financial market volatility of 2008 has profound implications. Although there is plenty of "blame" to be shared, some key elements of the instability are relatively straightforward to identify.

The authors contend that a fundamental, underlying cause is the cavalier approach taken to applied risk management, an approach that was only possible because of the use (and some would say abuse) of automation.

 

This article examines ethical issues associated with general behaviors leading to the market volatility of 2008.

It then isolates some related ethical factors that can be singularly attributed to automation.

While the effects of market automation can't be realistically blamed for the overall market situation, automation certainly contributed to and still contributes to market uncertainty.

Some of this uncertainty is due not merely to automation but to decisions made as risk management was automated. These findings are reinforced by research work employing latent semantic analysis (LSA).

Index Terms:

IT professional, economic meltdown, automation, ethics, latent semantic analysis (LSA)

Citation:

http://doi.ieeecomputersociety.org/10.1109/MITP.2009.2

George F. Hurlburt, Keith W. Miller, Jeffrey M. Voas, "An Ethical Analysis of Automation, Risk, and the Financial Crises of 2008," IT Professional, vol. 11, no. 1, pp. 14-19, Jan./Feb. 2009, doi:10.1109/MITP.2009.2

 

 

 

Cheers,

 

Bob

 

2009/3/25 Caneva, Duane C. <Duane_C._Caneva@xxxxxxxxxxx>

Presentation from George Hurlburt to get some conversation started.

Caveats:  this is not referenced, but includes text that will be used for a paper for publication, so references do exist (just not included in the power point).

Best,

Duane

 

Duane C. Caneva, MD, FACEP

Director, Medical Preparedness Policy

White House Homeland Security Council

202-456-2171 (o)

202-503-5439 (c)

202-456-6024 (f)

DCaneva@xxxxxxxxxxx

 


From: mphise-talk-bounces@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:mphise-talk-bounces@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Bob Smith
Sent: Wednesday, March 25, 2009 4:48 PM
To: [mphise-talk]
Subject: Re: [mphise-talk] ontology-team conference call Mon 2009.03.30

 

Either time works for me

 

Cheers,

 

Bob

On Wed, Mar 25, 2009 at 1:35 PM, Obrst, Leo J. <lobrst@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:

Only (A) will work for me.

Thanks,
Leo

_____________________________________________
Dr. Leo Obrst       The MITRE Corporation, Information Semantics
lobrst@xxxxxxxxx    Information Discovery & Understanding, Command and Control Center
Voice: 703-983-6770 7515 Colshire Drive, M/S H305
Fax: 703-983-1379   McLean, VA 22102-7508, USA



-----Original Message-----
From: mphise-talk-bounces@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:mphise-talk-bounces@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Peter Yim
Sent: Wednesday, March 25, 2009 4:08 PM
To: mphise-talk
Subject: [mphise-talk] ontology-team conference call Mon 2009.03.30

Mark, Leo, Steve, Bob, Ram & Susan,


Ram was in town (at Stanford yesterday and today) for the NCBO annual
meeting, and he, Mark, Steve and I took the opportunity to meet up
last night. We exchanged a few thoughts and decided (since almost
everyone has some travel to do between now and Apr-1) is that we
almost certainly have to do the bulk of the preparation work via this
list and the wiki.

We decided, though, that we should set up a time to do a synchronous
conference call. And, trying to match calendars, next Monday Mar-30
could be the only day the we might even possibly catch everyone on the
team.

This will be a 1.0~1.5 hour conference call for the ontology-team to
tie down our message and presentation on Apr-1 at Duane's MPHISE
Conference (which Leo and Ram will  present.)  Let me start by
proposing the two following alternatives:

(A)  Mon 2009.03.30 starting 10:00 am PDT / 1:00 pm EDT

(B)  Mon 2009.03.30 starting 1:00 pm PDT / 4:00 pm EDT

Please respond by confirming which (hopefully both) of the above
window would work for you (state a preference, if you have one.) If
neither works, please suggest a couple more slots more consideration.
... I'll circulate the call details once we have picked the time.

Duane, it would be nice if you can join us too (but we'll understand
if you can't.)  Do advise your availability too, if you plan to do so.


Thanks & regards.  =ppy
--

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