Agreed, Bob.
Excellent work George… I look forward to seeing you
present this next week!
Along the same lines… I would suggest that our current
environment is more dynamic and uncertain than ever. Moreover, both the pace of
change and impact of uncertainty are accelerating exponentially. Unfortunately,
the classic coordination mechanisms that we attempt inject are based on centralized
control and have only a linear growth capability (i.e. a controlled taxonomy/ontology/standard
can only be re-versioned as quickly as one entity, or a collective entity –
read: standards committee – can update it). Apparently, we are reaching
the point at which exponential environmental change is outpacing our familiar methods’
linearly growing capacities for response.
This feels true based on even my limited experience of many
domains (including disaster management and medical/public healthcare) in which we
are seeing very familiar problems raring their ugly heads over and over.
We need a different approach than what has worked in the past. Relying
on ‘conventional wisdom’ will only keep us refining our linear
responsiveness. Incremental, evolutionary steps are unlikely to be sufficient. I
would suggest we need to look at coordination mechanisms capable of fostering
collective production in distributed communities.
Jamison
Jamison
M. Day, Ph.D.
Assistant Professor of Supply Chain Management
Department
of Decision and Information Sciences
Bauer
College of Business at the University of Houston
jmday@xxxxxx
From:
mphise-talk-bounces@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
[mailto:mphise-talk-bounces@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Bob Smith
Sent: Wednesday, March 25, 2009 6:22 PM
To: [mphise-talk]
Subject: Re: [mphise-talk] ontology-team conference call Mon 2009.03.30
This PPT from George Hurlburt is an excellent statement!!!
I especially like the first slide showing a human yelling at
a laptop, with the explanation that ... we should be humble about the stability
assumptions of a design and deeply consider the socio-technical aspects of the
system design, especially at the edges:
" ...Data
that should map from one database to another is either sometimes dependent upon
a highly flexible schema, filthy at its source, or significantly nuanced in
meaning to require significant semantic mapping.
Worst of
all, environmental changes ranging from new threats, politics, resulting
doctrinal shifts, resource driven procedural workarounds, sudden addition or
deletion of influential federates or a myriad of other pragmatic operating
factors create near chaos in carefully crafted static architectures, even if
ontologically driven.
In essence,
experience demonstrates that few processes really remain static in
today’s highly accelerated environment. Thus, it is unrealistic to
consider static architectures will last long into even the system design phase,
much less their related and unifying ontological structures. Rather knowledge
flows incrementally as we continually assimilate new information"
Is this the same George F. Hurlburt who authored "An
Ethical Analysis of Automation, Risk, and the Financial Crises of 2008"?
IF so, the summary of that article posted on the IEEE
website is informative:
The unprecedented financial market volatility
of 2008 has profound implications. Although there is plenty of "blame"
to be shared, some key elements of the instability are relatively
straightforward to identify.
The authors contend that a fundamental,
underlying cause is the cavalier approach taken to applied risk management, an
approach that was only possible because of the use (and some would say abuse)
of automation.
This article examines ethical issues
associated with general behaviors leading to the market volatility of 2008.
It then isolates some related ethical factors
that can be singularly attributed to automation.
While the effects of market automation can't
be realistically blamed for the overall market situation, automation certainly
contributed to and still contributes to market uncertainty.
Some of this uncertainty is due not merely to
automation but to decisions made as risk management was automated. These
findings are reinforced by research work employing latent semantic analysis
(LSA).
Index Terms:
IT professional, economic meltdown,
automation, ethics, latent semantic analysis (LSA)
Citation:
http://doi.ieeecomputersociety.org/10.1109/MITP.2009.2
George F. Hurlburt, Keith W. Miller, Jeffrey M. Voas, "An Ethical
Analysis of Automation, Risk, and the Financial Crises of 2008," IT
Professional, vol. 11, no. 1, pp. 14-19, Jan./Feb. 2009,
doi:10.1109/MITP.2009.2
2009/3/25 Caneva, Duane C. <Duane_C._Caneva@xxxxxxxxxxx>
Presentation
from George Hurlburt to get some conversation started.
Caveats:
this is not referenced, but includes text that will be used for a paper for
publication, so references do exist (just not included in the power point).
Best,
Duane
Duane
C. Caneva, MD, FACEP
Director,
Medical Preparedness Policy
White
House Homeland Security Council
202-456-2171
(o)
202-503-5439
(c)
202-456-6024
(f)
DCaneva@xxxxxxxxxxx
On Wed, Mar 25, 2009 at 1:35 PM, Obrst, Leo J. <lobrst@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:
Only (A) will work for me.
Thanks,
Leo
_____________________________________________
Dr. Leo Obrst The MITRE Corporation, Information Semantics
lobrst@xxxxxxxxx
Information Discovery & Understanding, Command and Control Center
Voice: 703-983-6770 7515 Colshire Drive, M/S H305
Fax: 703-983-1379 McLean, VA 22102-7508, USA
Mark, Leo, Steve, Bob, Ram & Susan,
Ram was in town (at Stanford yesterday and today) for the NCBO annual
meeting, and he, Mark, Steve and I took the opportunity to meet up
last night. We exchanged a few thoughts and decided (since almost
everyone has some travel to do between now and Apr-1) is that we
almost certainly have to do the bulk of the preparation work via this
list and the wiki.
We decided, though, that we should set up a time to do a synchronous
conference call. And, trying to match calendars, next Monday Mar-30
could be the only day the we might even possibly catch everyone on the
team.
This will be a 1.0~1.5 hour conference call for the ontology-team to
tie down our message and presentation on Apr-1 at Duane's MPHISE
Conference (which Leo and Ram will present.) Let me start by
proposing the two following alternatives:
(A) Mon 2009.03.30 starting 10:00 am PDT / 1:00 pm EDT
(B) Mon 2009.03.30 starting 1:00 pm PDT / 4:00 pm EDT
Please respond by confirming which (hopefully both) of the above
window would work for you (state a preference, if you have one.) If
neither works, please suggest a couple more slots more consideration.
... I'll circulate the call details once we have picked the time.
Duane, it would be nice if you can join us too (but we'll understand
if you can't.) Do advise your availability too, if you plan to do so.
Thanks & regards. =ppy
--
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