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Re: [ontolog-forum] Dennett on the Darwinism of Memes

To: Pat Hayes <phayes@xxxxxxx>
Cc: Michael Hopwood <michael@xxxxxxxxxxx>, "[ontolog-forum]" <ontolog-forum@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
From: Kathryn Blackmond Laskey <klaskey@xxxxxxx>
Date: Wed, 1 May 2013 08:43:44 -0400
Message-id: <8FE7E8B8-E37C-408B-9246-B8002D38BF80@xxxxxxx>
Pat,    (01)

1. I never said parsimony wasn't useful. As a heuristic, it is extremely 
useful.  I said parsimony does not constitute scientific disproof.    (02)

2. As William Frank pointed out earlier in this thread, there are many people, 
including highly respected theologians, who do not conceive of "God" as a 
"being" of any kind, supreme or otherwise.    (03)

3. "enough of a stretch for me..." You are perfectly entitled to apply Occam's 
razor and rule out the hypothesis of a God who created the universe. But ruling 
it out by Occam does not constitute scientific disproof, and others are 
entitled to disagree.    (04)

4. That said, I agree that arguments for or against God don't belong as part of 
science.  To be scientific, one would need to (1) define clearly what one meant 
by God, (2) develop testable predictions of the empirical consequences of both 
God and not-God, (3) find a measurable difference in those observable 
consequences, and (4) assess which hypothesis better matched observed outcomes. 
 Attempts to do this tend to posit impoverished straw-man definitions which, 
when they are easily shot down, satisfy only those whose concept of God is 
limited to the impoverished straw-man.  Boxing God into a testable scientific 
hypothesis is specious.      (05)

5. Regarding your "universe is vast" comment, the act of contemplating the 
vastness of the universe, to one so inclined, counts as communion with God. A 
rabbi once told me that if one stands on a mountaintop awestruck by the wonder 
of a beautiful sunset, that constitutes prayer.  The same rabbi refused to give 
any definition of God at all, saying that definitions of God are antithetical 
to Jewish philosophy and that each person has to arrive at his or her own 
meaning.      (06)

6. If you wish to define "God" as "supreme being," use Occam to rule out the 
hypothesis that this supreme being created the universe, regard this as 
disproof of God, and decline to use the label "prayer" for contemplation of the 
vastness of the universe, that is certainly your prerogative.  Your 
impoverished straw-man can join the plethora of impoverished straw-men in the 
public discourse.  But that doesn't mean those who make a different choice are 
wrong or unscientific.    (07)

Kathy    (08)


On May 1, 2013, at 2:16 AM, Pat Hayes wrote:    (09)

> 
> On Apr 30, 2013, at 9:29 PM, Kathryn Blackmond Laskey wrote:
> 
>> 1. Quoting http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Occam%27s_razor, "In the scientific 
>method, parsimony is an epistemological, metaphysical or heuristic preference, 
>not an irrefutable principle of logic or a scientific result."
>> 
>> It is certainly metaphysically justifiable to prefer a theory that explains 
>the observed evidence without making use of a supreme deity.  However, 
>parsimony does not constitute scientific proof.
> 
> Hi Kathryn
> 
> Your position is often claimed by philosphers of science, but in fact 
>parsimony is used constantly throughout scientific explanations in practice, 
>and indeed I would argue (and will, if you wish to :-) that science simply 
>would not be possible unless it were, since no empirical tests could refute 
>non-parsimonious explanations. The LHC found the Higgs boson, but if hadn't, 
>then a nonparimonious explanation could easily have explained that: perhaps 
>the Higgs events were shielded by a hitherto unknown effect which just happens 
>to block HIggs-revealing events from being detected. Whats wrong with that 
>kind of thinking? 
> 
>> 
>> 2. Your argument presupposes that "God" means "supreme being who makes 
>supernatural things happen."
> 
> Just "supreme being" will do. 
> 
>> While this is (at least in part) what some people mean by God, it is by no 
>means a universal view.  I know many people -- some of them clergy -- who 
>believe in God, but do not believe miracles happen.  
> 
> The ones I have the closest familiarity with do believe in miracels and 
>indeed believe that to not believe in miracles is heresy. But miracles are not 
>necessary in order to apply Occamist thinking. Just the idea of a creator of 
>the universe is enough of a stretch for me, given the size and complexity of 
>the universe, which so far exceeds the conception held during the entire 
>history of theology that it is hard to even comprehend the necessary scales. 
>At the beginning of the 20th century astronomers thought that the milky way 
>was the entire universe, an estimate that was, we now know, out by at least 28 
>orders of magnitude. 
> 
> It is quite hard to even get one's head around how big the universe is. A 
>"being" made all this? How? And even if it did, why would such an incredibly 
>large and powerful creature be particularly concerned with us, who occupy a 
>film of fluid smeared on the surface of a small rock orbiting a nondescript 
>star, one of about 300 billion stars in a galaxy which is one among perhaps 
>200 billion galaxies, and who have existed as a species for only perhaps the 
>last 0.2 million years of the universe's 14 billion year history? There are 
>events going on throughout the universe which, if they happened anywhere near 
>to our star, would annihilate all of us in milliseconds, without the rest of 
>the universe even noticing our absence. 
> 
> Apparently this creator had a rather long time to wait until we showed up to 
>worship Him, and He must have a very keen eye to find us on this tiny rock, in 
>all this space and energetic turmoil that He created. Rather wasteful with 
>energy and matter, this God, and plenty of time on His hands. 
> 
> Pat
> 
>> 
>> 
>> On Apr 25, 2013, at 12:39 AM, Pat Hayes wrote:
>> 
>>> 
>>> On Apr 24, 2013, at 10:11 PM, John F Sowa wrote:
>>> 
>>>> I'm willing to grant that all arguments for the existence of God
>>>> are unscientific.  But I also believe that all arguments *against*
>>>> the existence of God are equally unscientific.  It's actually harder
>>>> to develop a solid proof that something does *not* exist.
>>> 
>>> 
>>> The basic scientific argument against the existence of God is that there is 
>absolutely no observational evidence for the existence of a God, nor any 
>reason to hypothesise such an entity in order to explain anything that is 
>observable. A very straightforward application of Occam's principle then 
>suffices. Of course this is not a *proof*, but it is a sound *scientific* 
>argument. Proofs are irrelevant here. There is no proof that the flying 
>spaghetti monster does not exist, but that does not shake the faith of the 
>true Pastafarian.
>> 
>> 
>> 
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